Thursday, December 22, 2011

Is Iowa a worthless Primary?

This question is being asked more and more the closer we come to the January 3rd, caucus date. It seems the polls change every day and if they are a true indicator of whats going on, Ron Paul just may win in Iowa. Then that begs to ask, again, is Iowa a worthless primary?
In most reasonable minds, if Ron Paul wins, the answer must be yes. There is absolutely no way that Ron Paul will be Obama. With the statements attributed to Ron Paul from his news letters from the past, he would have a hard time beating anyone. Talk show host Erick Erickson on WSB radio, covered a lot of what was written on his show on Wednesday, December 21st. Some of the things that he talked about was down right scary if you heard it. According to Erick, in Paul's news letter, there was such things as, "gay were intentionally infecting the blood banks with AIDS, that there was going to be a race war and referred to blacks as animals." Also, according to Mr. Erickson, Ron Paul's editor was quoted making such comments as "there is nothing more lovin, than a Jew in the oven," it this is true and Paul refused to dis-own these comments, how could he possibly be a candidate.
If a talk show host can find this stuff, what do you think the democrats will do with all this information? Hitler himself, would stand a better chance of beating Obama if they have access to the same information that Erick spoke of.
Are the people of Iowa so ill informed that they would actually vote for someone like this? If Ron Paul wins in Iowa there is no way this can reflect the rest of America. This will make Iowa look like a laughing stock and may remove any candidates from ever participating in that state again.
Also, Newt and Romney are in a virtual tie according to the latest polls, the closer we get to January 3rd, the more volatile the polls will become.
I am looking forward to the caucus, but only as it will show the insignificance of the whole damn thing anyway.

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Debate Tonight on Fox News

The Republican debate in Iowa tonight will be on Fox News at 9pm eastern time live. All the political news people will be watching and I'm sure that millions of other will be watching as well. Then there will be a lot people in Atlanta that will want to watch, but the Falcons will be on Thursday night football, and they may flip back and forth, depending on the status of the game.
This is building to be one of the best of the debates so far. Mitt Romney and Ron Paul have started on a concerted smear campaign against the current front polls leader, Newt Gingrich. The ad's have been relentless and full of have truths and comments on what Newt did in the past. They tend to have one thing in common, Newt has worked with democrats in the past or has changed his position on things over the years. I have a feeling that Newt will be well prepared for the attack tonight and will smile the whole time.
Ron Paul will probably do well in Iowa, his ground game is in tack and his followers are true devotes and will do more with less if need be. The problem will be if he starts to get attacked during the debate to keep smiling and not become a grumpy old man.
Mitt Romney has to keep his cool as well, no more betting on the truth. Don't let the lies and attacks get to him, don't touch your opponents, don't Rick Perry get to him like he's done in the past. I don't know what it is, but something just comes off that Rick Perry and Mitt Romney just don't like each other.
Will the fireworks fly tonight? A lot of political junkies can't wait to see what happens. All day long the talk show will do their predictions of who will win, who will gaff and who has the most to loose. So far all the pundits have been wrong about who would be leading the polls at this point, the establishment in the republican party has been fighting tooth and nail for Romney and it hasn't worked, so what's next.
Dick Morris will be tweeting, Neil Boortz national talk radio host will be like Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity, talking about it all day today and all day tomorrow as well. Pay attention to see if any of them call it like it is, so far most have missed the mark. Some will say they will pull for who ever is against President Obama, except I think if Ron Paul somehow get's out front, they might even try to get Donald Trump to run. Most have already declared Ron Paul, to far out there for the Republican party when it comes to foreign affairs. There may be one problem with that sentiment, if they disrespect him, he might just run as an independent and pull a Ross on them, which will pretty much assure that Obama wins.

Ok, the way I see it, is that most middle class working Americans want someone who will just tell them the truth and stand up for what they believe in. That's why Herman Cain took off so quick, that's why Newt Gingrich has been doing so well since Cain dropped out. I think most people are a little wary of the Northeast politician, Mitt Romney has never been able to get out of the 20's in the polls. I don't think we really know who will be ahead by April, all I know is who ever it is, be prepared for the most brutal attacks by Democrats that you have ever seen, with nearly a billion dollars to spend, it will be something to see. Nancy Pelosi started a little early when she threatened Newt, but that was just a taste of what's yet to come.
Tonight's debate on Fox News from Iowa will be followed by endless commentary, but the ultimately it will come down to the people, not the pundits and talk show host.

I can't wait.

Sunday, December 4, 2011

Herman Cain Drops out of Race

Herman Cain announced yesterday that he was suspending his campaign for president. Though he did not come right and say it's over, read between the lines and you can pretty much say he's done.
With the allegations of sexual improprieties, his support has been slipping since the first accusations were made. It is alleged that the latest report of the 13 year, on again, off again affair was the straw that finally broke the back of the campaign.
He came home to Atlanta to supposedly talk to his family, more than likely to try to save what was left of his marriage. He admitted that he had helped the woman in question financially, but never told his wife about the arrangement. He has continued to say that there was never any sexual part to the relationship, however the woman insist that there was.
Most all the accusations about Mr. Cain seems to stem from his time with the National Restaurant Association, a three year period out of a career that spanned over 40 years. The one thing that never made much sense about this whole situation was that fact. But, with this latest accusation, the affair went on over much of the time he was living here in Atlanta and communication was right up till just recently. This time would also include his battle with cancer, where as a survivor myself, you need all the support you can get, plus his time as a WSB radio talk host and during his time as a fill in host for Neil Boortz. From all accounts, this seemed so much out of character for Mr. Cain, that a lot personal friends seemed to have a hard time accepting that he could have done what he had been accused of.
The announcement made on Saturday, pretty much seals the deal for Herman. Though he said he is just suspending his effort, he can pack it in for good. Once you have started on a downhill slide and it's this close to New Hampshire and Iowa, your done. The support he had from the Tea party has been taken by Newt Gingrich and it looks like the battle will come down between Newt and Romney.
Good luck to Herman Cain, I think his family will need a lot of healing after all this, I wish him the best in the future.

Friday, December 2, 2011

Will Herman Cain Quit Now?

It's all over the news, Herman Cain on his way home to Georgia to face his family. His wife has been interviewed and claims that she is not "one of those women who will stand on the stage with her husband and support him," that is, if he is guilty of the charges made against him.
Most of you know that the allegation is that Herman Cain had an on again, off again thirteen year affair with a woman in the metro Atlanta area. I won't mention her name, I refuse to give her any more press that she has already received. This is just the latest report of some type of infidelity related to the presidential hopeful and this may just be the one that finally kills the campaign.
He has issued an email asking supporter to tell him why he should stay in the race. He has stated that he would talk to his family, then make a decision on weather or not to go forward. This almost seems contradictory, either let your supports decide or your family, what happens if one or the other says's No?
Either way, I think that it is given, that he's done. His poll numbers has steadily dropped since the first affair was reported. Polls that had him in double digits just five weeks ago, now have him in single digits and there seems no way he will recover from this in time for the votes Iowa or New Hampshire.
Where he had a lot of support from independents, that has continued to drop and they shifted their support to Newt Gingrich.
Will Herman Cain quit? From all indications that he is all but done, probably so, but the announcement will come Monday, stay tuned.